This time for sure on mobile Linux

I think the fact that Bullwinkle pulls any at all out of his hat, pretty impressive.

There are a number of indicators that make this years prediction more probable.

Vista - the slow uptake, the general belief that it's horrible (that's a useful meme from the Linux viewpoint) Low cost small foot print laptops and other computing devices, none of which are easy to run any Windows on. The general air of panic that seems to eminate from Microsoft - their efforts to make thier OS run on, ot make the hardware manufacturers build more Windows friendly hardware. The fact that inspie of itself the Linux community is actually marketing Linux, in some cases quite well. The fact that almost every Linux is a doddle to install and use. Ubuntu - to most non Linux users Ubuntu is Linux. On the other hand once they SEE a linux, it's not hard to get them to understand that Ubuntu is but one of many Linuxes. ODF, as it gives Business and Government a genuine ISO stand to insist on, for office applications.

There may be others, but I see those as the major indicators.

On the other hand we have

OOXML, which may yet get ratified by ISO, in which case every business and givernment will use Microsoft Office on Windows. Microsoft Sharepoint, which integrates Microsoft Office, Mickrosoft Exchamge, and a host of other Microsoft products, in a single convenient package (don't knock it, it sells big time) Silverlight, there are already quite a number of Silverlight enable websites that I can't access uisng Linux. Microsoft, Money talks very loud. Microsoft, in general, inertia is a bitch, ask NASA.